MEP Elections: Roberta Metsola and Alex Agius Saliba top two candidates with others far behind

According to Malta Today's latest survey, Roberta Metsola and Alex Agius Saliba remain in pole position with the EU parliament President leading the Labour incumbent by five points.

The survey shows Metsola polling at 19.6%, and Agius trailing at 14.2%.  

Moreover, since a significant number of voters (55.5%) replied that they are still undecided on which candidate to vote for, both candidates may possibly increase their voting tally on election day.

Additionally uncertainty is even greater among current Labour voters (61%) than among PN voters (47.1%) Agius Saliba has more room to grow in the next days, possibly edging closer to Metsola on polling day as more Labour voters make up their mind. However it could also mean that a significant portion of voters will remain undecided and that the difference between both parties will continue to narrow.  

Metsola and Agius Saliba are also the only two candidates mentioned in the survey whose score is greater than the survey’s margin of error. This means that the results of other candidates are only indicative.

An analysis of the result shows that David Casa who was only mentioned by 1% of respondents as their first choice, is poised to inherit 43% of Metsola’s vote while Peter Agius who was mentioned by nearly 2% of respondents as their first choice, is poised to inherit 28% of Metsola’s vote.

The survey suggests a very tight race between Daniel Attard, Clint Flores and Steve Ellul for Labour’s third and potential fourth seat with the three of them getting a score in the range of 1% to 2%.  But when second preferences are taken in to account, Daniel Attard who is poised to win second preferences from 24% of Agius Saliba’s voters, is emerging as a clear favourite for second place well ahead of Steve Ellul who inherits 8% of Agius Saliba’s vote.